Space Launch Report
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gslvd5.jpg (17894 bytes) 2014 Space Launch Report

Updated December 31, 2014

2014 Launch Vehicle Standings
2014 Launch Site/Country Standings
Launch Vehicle by Success Rate
2014 Orbital Launch Log
2014 Suborbital Launch Log
Space Launch Forecast

GSLV-D5 performed India's First Successful Indigenously Developed LH2/LOX Upper Stage Mission on January 5, 2014.

2014 LAUNCH STATS
========================================================
             SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

       2014 LAUNCH VEHICLE/SITE STATISTICS
========================================================
       by Ed Kyle      as of December 31, 2014
========================================================

       YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH VEHICLE SUMMARY

Calendar year launch vehicle results, ranked by number 
of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker 
and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker.  
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods 
less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include 
heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape 
trajectories.

=========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
=========================================================
R-7                  22(1)       15(0)   7(1)    -
CZ                   15(0)       13(0)   2(0)    -
Atlas 5               9(0)        2(0)   7(0)    -
Proton                8(2)         -     8(2)    -
Ariane 5              6(0)        1(0)   5(0)    -
Falcon 9              6(0)        3(0)   3(0)    -
Delta 4               4(0)        1(0)   3(0)    -
H-2A                  4(0)        2(0)   1(0)   1(0)
PSLV                  3(0)        1(0)   2(0)    -
Antares               3(1)        3(1)    -      -
Dnepr                 2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Rokot/Briz KM         2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Angara A5             1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Zenit                 1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Delta 2               1(0)        1(0)    -      -
GSLV                  1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Vega                  1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Strela                1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Kuaizhou              1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Shavit 2              1(0)        1(0)    -      -
---------------------------------------------------------
Total                92(4)       50(1)  41(3)   1(0)


Antares Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Antares 120           2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Antares 130           1(1)        1(1)    -      -     
------------------------------------------------------------

Ariane 5 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Ariane 5ECA           5(0)         -     5(0)    - 
Ariane 5ES            1(0)        1(0)    -      -     
------------------------------------------------------------

Atlas 5 Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Atlas 5-401           7(0)        2(0)   5(0)    -
Atlas 5-411            -           -      -      - 
Atlas 5-421            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-431            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-501            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-531            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-541           2(0)         -     2(0)    -
Atlas 5-551            -           -      -      -
-----------------------------------------------------------

Chang Zheng (Long March) Details
------------------------------------------------------------
CZ-2C                 4(0)        4(0)    -      -
CZ-2D                 2(0)        2(0)    -      -
CZ-2F (M)              -           -      -      -
CZ-2FT1                -           -      -      - 
CZ-3A                 1(0)         -     1(0)    -
CZ-3B(/E)              -           -      -      - 
CZ-3CE                1(0)         -     1(0)    - 
CZ-4B                 4(0)        4(0)    -      -
CZ-4C                 3(0)        3(0)    -      -
------------------------------------------------------------

Delta 2 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 2-7320          1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Delta 2 7920           -           -      -      -
------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4M               -           -      -      -
Delta 4M+4,2          3(0)         -     3(0)    -
Delta 4M+5,2           -           -      -      -
Delta 4M+5,4           -           -      -      -
Delta 4H              1(0)        1(0)    -      -
------------------------------------------------------------

Falcon 9 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Falcon 9 v1.0          -           -      -      -
Falcon 9 v1.1         6(0)        3(0)   3(0)    -
------------------------------------------------------------

H-2A/B Details
-------------------------------------------------------------
H-2A/202              4(0)        2(0)   1(0)   1(0)
H-2A/204               -           -      -      -
H-2B/304               -           -      -      -
-------------------------------------------------------------

Proton Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Proton-M/Briz-M       8(2)         -     8(2)    -
Proton-K/DM-2          -           -      -      -  
Proton-M/DM-03         -           -      -      -
-------------------------------------------------------------

PSLV Details
------------------------------------------------------------
PSLV-C                 -           -      -      -     
PSLV-CA (Core Alone)  1(0)        1(0)    -      - 
PSLV-XL-C             2(0)         -     2(0)    -
-------------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz/Molniya (R-7) Details 
-------------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz-U (Progress)    3(0)        3(0)    -      -
Soyuz-U (satellite)   1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Soyuz-FG/Fregat        -           -      -      -
Soyuz-FG/Soyuz (M)    4(0)        4(0)    -      -
Soyuz-2-1a            2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Soyuz-2-1a(Progress)  1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat     2(0)        1(0)   1(0)    -
Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat     7(1)        1(0)   6(1)    -
Soyuz-2-1b            2(0)        2(0)    -      -
NK-33A Powered
Soyuz 2-1v/Volga       -           -      -      - 
------------------------------------------------------------

Zenit Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Zenit 3SL/DMSL        1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Zenit 3SLB/DMSLB       -           -      -      - 
Zenit 3F/Fregat SB     -           -      -      -
Zenit 2SB              -           -      -      - 
-----------------------------------------------------------

Launch Vehicle Site Summary 

=========================================================

          YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH SITE SUMMARY

Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital 
launch attempts.

=========================================================
Site                           Overall    
                               Launches    
                              (Failures)   
=========================================================
Baikonur, Kazakhstan            21(2)   
Cape Canaveral, Florida         16(0)
Kourou, French Guyana           11(1) 
Plesetsk, Russia                 9(0)
Jiuquan, China                   8(0)
Taiyaun, China                   6(0) 
Tanegashima, Japan               4(0)
Sriharikota, India               4(0) 
Vandenberg AFB, California       4(0)
Wallops Island, Virgina          3(1)
XiChang, China                   2(0)
Dombarovsky, Russia              2(0)
Odyssey LP, Pacific Ocean        1(0)
Palmachim, Israel                1(0)
Naro Space Center, South Korea
Kagoshima, Japan                
Sohae, North Korea               
Semnam, Iran                     
Kwajalein, RMI                       
Kodiak LC, Alaska                  
=========================================================
Launch Total by Country of First or Core Stage Manufacture
==========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
==========================================================
Russia               35(3)       20(0)  15(3)    - 
United States        20(0)        7(0)  13(0)    - 
China                16(0)       14(0)   2(0)    -   
Europe                7(0)        2(0)   5(0)    -
Ukraine               6(1)        5(1)   1(0)    -
Japan                 4(0)        2(0)   1(0)   1(0) 
India                 4(0)        1(0)   3(0)    -
Israel                1(0)        1(0)    -      -
South Korea            -           -      -      -
Iran                   -           -      -      -
==========================================================

 

Launch Total by Country of Upper Stage Manufacture
==========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
==========================================================
Russia               36(3)       20(0)  15(3)    - 
United States        23(1)       10(1)  13(0)    -   
China                16(0)       14(0)   2(0)    - 
Europe                7(0)        2(0)   5(0)    -
Japan                 4(0)        2(0)   1(0)   1(0) 
India                 4(0)        1(0)   3(0)    -
Israel                1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Ukraine               2(0)        2(0)    -      -
South Korea            -           -      -      -
Iran                   -           -      -      -
==========================================================

   
     
 

Launch Vehicle by Success Rate 

================================================================
                    SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

        ACTIVE LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
           by Ed Kyle      as of December 31, 2014       
================================================================

Top active space launch vehicles ranked by their predicted 
orbital success rate*.  Failures include incorrect orbits.
   
================================================================ 
Vehicle     Successes/Tries Realzd Pred  Consc. Last     Dates    
                             Rate  Rate* Succes Fail    
================================================================
Delta 2          150   152    .99  .98     97    1/17/97  1989- 
Soyuz-FG          40    40   1.00  .98     40    None     2001-
Soyuz-U          750   770x   .97  .97     13    8/24/11  1973-
Atlas 5           50    51    .98  .96     41    6/15/07  2002-
Ariane 5-ECA      46    47    .98  .96     46    12/11/02 2002-    
CZ-2D             22    22   1.00  .96     22    None     1993-
CZ-4(A/B/C)       41    42    .98  .95      7    12/9/13  1988-
Delta 4M(+)       20    20   1.00  .95     20    None     2002-
CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM)   43    45    .96  .94      9    08/18/11 1974-
H-2A              25    26    .96  .93     20    11/29/03 2001- 
CZ-2F(T1)         11    11   1.00  .92     11    None     1999- 
Minotaur 1        11    11   1.00  .92     11    None     2000-
CZ-3B/3C          35    37    .95  .92     23    8/31/09  1996- 
Soyuz FG/Fregat   10    10   1.00  .92     10    None     2003-
Dnepr             20    21    .95  .91     14    7/26/06  1999-
Falcon 9 v1.1      8     8   1.00  .90      8    None     2013-
PSLV              26    28    .93  .90     24    9/29/97  1993-
CZ-3/3A           34    37    .92  .90     24    8/18/96  1984- 
Proton-M/Briz-M   71    79    .90  .89      2    10/21/14 2001-
Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 14    15#   .93  .88     12    5/21/09  2006-
Rokot/Briz/K(M)   21    23    .91  .88      7    02/01/11 1994-
Zenit 3SL/DMSL    32    36    .89  .87      1    2/1/13   1999-
Pegasus (H/XL)    37    42    .88  .86     28    11/4/96  1991-
Ariane 5ES         5     5   1.00  .86      5    None     2008-
Soyuz 2-1b         5     5   1.00  .86      5    None     2008-
Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 16    18    .89  .85      2    08/22/14 2006- 
H-2B               4     4   1.00  .83      4    None     2009-
Soyuz-U/Fregat     4     4   1.00  .83      4    None     2000-
Soyuz 2-1a         4     4#  1.00  .83      4    None     2004-
Minotaur 4/5       4     4++ 1.00  .83      4    None     2010-
Vega               3     3   1.00  .80      3    None     2012-
Strela             3     3   1.00  .80      3    None     2003-
Delta IV-H         7     8    .88  .80      7    12/21/04 2004-
Zenit 2(M/SB)     30    38    .78  .77      7    9/9/98   1985-
Zenit 3F/FregatSB  2     2   1.00  .75      2    None     2011-
Shtil'             2     2   1.00  .75      2    None     1998-
Kuaizhou           2     2   1.00  .75      1    None     2013-
Zenit 3SLB/DMSLB   5     6    .83  .75      5(B) 4/28/08  2008-
Antares            4     5    .80  .71      0    10/28/14 2013-
Angara A5          1     1   1.00  .67      1    None     2014- 
Soyuz 2-1v         1     1   1.00  .67      1    None     2013-
Epsilon            1     1   1.00  .67      1    None     2013-
Shavit(-1,-2)      7    10    .70  .67      3    9/6/04   1988-
Taurus (XL)        6     9    .67  .64      0    3/4/11   1994- 
Safir              4     7    .57  .56(C)   0    9/2/12   2008-
GSLV               3     8    .38  .40      1    12/25/10 2001-
Volna              0     1    .00  .33      0    6/21/05  2005-
Unha (TD-2)        1     4%   .25  .33      1    4/12/12  2006-
Proton-M/DM-03     0     2    .00  .25      0    7/2/13   2010-
================================================================ 
* First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability  
 of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the  
 number of successful events and n is the number of trials. 

# Does not include one successful suborbital Soyuz 2-1a test 
   flight performed in 2004.

++Does not include two successful suborbital Minotaur 4 Lite 
   flights in 2010-11.
x Does not include Soyuz-U/Soyuz T-10-1 pre-launch fire that 
   resulted in escape tower firing saving crew, but destroying 
   launch vehicle on 9-26-1983.  Note that 10 additional 
   Soyuz-U launches with Ikar or Fregat upper stages (all 
   successful) are cataloged separately.
% Includes 2006 failure thought to be a two-stage suborbital 
   test launch attempt. 

(A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of 
    damage suffered during launch phase.

(B) Amos-3 inserted in orbit with 1,500 km short perigee and 
  0.7 deg unplanned inclination.  Amos 3 reportedly lost two 
  to three years of 18 year design life.
(C) Assumes that two unsuccessful, unreported Safir launch 
attempts occurred during 2012. 
================================================================ 


===============================================================
                    SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

  RECENTLY RETIRED LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
           by Ed Kyle      
================================================================
Recently retired space launch vehicles ranked by 
their predicted orbital success rate*.  Failures include 
incorrect orbits.
   
================================================================ 
Vehicle    Successes/Tries Realzd Pred  Consc. Last     Dates    
                            Rate  Rate* Succes Fail    
================================================================ 
Atlas 2/2AS     63    63   1.00  .98     63    None     1991-2004
Tsyklon 2      104   105    .99  .98     92    4/25/73  1967-2006
STS            132   135    .98  .97     22(A) 2/1/03   1981-2011 
Ariane 4       113   116    .97  .97     74    12/11/94 1988-2003
Titan 2         17    17#  1.00  .95     17    None     1964-2003   
Kosmos 3M      423   446    .95  .95     22    11/20/00 1964-2010
Molniya M      277   296    .94  .93      4    6/21/05  1963-2010
Proton-K/DM-2M  40    42    .95  .93      7    11/25/02 1994-2006
Tsyklon 3      114   122    .93  .93      1    12/24/04 1977-2009
Proton-K/DM-2  101   109    .93  .92     15    10/27/99 1982-2012
Atlas 3(A/B)     6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     2000-2005
Soyuz-U/Ikar     6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     1999-1999
Proton-M/DM-2    6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     2007-2010
Proton-K/17S40   6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     1997-2002
Proton-K        26    29+   .90  .87      9    11/29/86 1968-2000  
Ariane 5G(+,S)  22    25    .88  .85     15    7/12/01  1996-2009
Titan 4B        15    17    .88  .84     12    4/30/99  1997-2005 
Titan 2(Star)    6     7%   .86  .78      6    10/5/93  1964-2003
M-5              6     7    .86  .78      4    2/10/00  1997-2006
START(-1)        6     7    .86  .78      5    3/28/95  1993-2006
Falcon 9 v1.0    4     5    .80  .71      1    10/8/12  2010-2013
Proton-K/Briz-M  3     4    .75  .67      3    7/5/99   1999-2003
Falcon 1         2     5    .40  .43      2    8/3/08   2006-2009
KSLV-1 (Angara)  1     3    .33  .40      1    6/10/10  2009-2013
================================================================ 
#Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions.
%Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with 
 Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity 
 increment.  The single failure listed here involved the Star 37 
 stage.  
+ Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight 
   performed in 1970.
  
(A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of 
    damage suffered during launch phase.

 2014 SPACE LAUNCH LOG

=========================================================================
                         SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

                 2014 ORBITAL/SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
=========================================================================
                 by Ed Kyle      as of December 31, 2014    
=========================================================================

                YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL SPACE LAUNCH LOG

DATE     VEHICLE           ID      PAYLOAD                 MASS(t) SITE*     ORBIT**
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/05/14 GSLV Mk.2         D5      GSAT 14                  1.98   SR SLP     GTO [1]
01/06/14 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-8    Thaicom 6                3.016  CC 40      GTO+
01/09/14 Antares 120       A3      Cygnus/Orb 1             4.69   WI 0A      LEO/ISS
01/24/14 Atlas 5-401       AV043   TDRS-L                   3.454  CC 41      GTO+
02/05/14 Soyuz U           1814    Progress M-22M           7.2    TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
02/06/14 Ariane 5 ECA      L572    VA217/ABS2/Athena-Fidus  9.41   KO 3       GTO
02/14/14 Proton M/Briz M   93543   Turksat 4A               4.85   TB 81/24   GTO+
02/21/14 Delta 4M+4,2      D365    GPS 2F-5                 1.63   CC 37B     MEO
02/27/14 H-2A-202          F23     GPM Core Observatory     3.85   TA Y1      LEO
03/15/14 Proton M/Briz M   93542   Express AT1/AT2          2.999  TB 81/24   GEO
03/22/14 Ariane 5 ECA      L571    VA216/Astra 5B/Amaz. 4A  8.662  KO 3       GTO
03/23/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1815    Glonass M                1.415  PL 43/4    MEO
03/25/14 Soyuz FG          1816    Soyuz TMA-12M            7.2    TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
03/31/14 CZ-2C             CZ2C41  Shijian 11-06                   JQ 43/603  LEO/S
04/03/14 Atlas 5-401       AV044   DMSP F19                 1.2    VA 3E      LEO/S
04/03/14 Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat VS07    Sentinal 1A              2.3    KO ELS     LEO/S
04/04/14 PSLV-XL           C24     IRNSS 1B                 1.432  SR FLP     GTO-[2]
04/09/14 Soyuz U           1818    Progress M-23M           7.2    TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
04/09/14 Shavit 2          10      Ofek 10                         PA         LEO/r
04/10/14 Atlas 5-541       AV045   NRO L-67                        CC 41      GEO?
04/16/14 Soyuz U           1819    Egyptsat 2               1.05   TB 31/6    LEO
04/18/14 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-9    CRS-3 Dragon            ~8.6    CC 40      LEO/ISS[3]
04/28/14 Proton M/Briz M   93546   Luch 5v/Kazsat 3        ~2.85   TB 81/24   GEO
04/30/14 Vega              VV03    DZZ-HR                   0.83   KO ZLV     LEO/S
05/06/14 Soyuz 2-1a        1820    Kobalt-M                 6.7    PL 43/4    LEO
05/15/14 Proton M/Briz M   93545   Ekspress AM4R            4.775  TB 200/39 [FTO][4]
05/17/14 Delta 4M+4,2      D366    GPS 2F-6                 1.630  CC 37B     MEO
05/22/14 Atlas 5-401       AV046   NROL-33                         CC 41      GTO?
05/23/14 Rokot/Briz KM     22      Kosmos 2496-98 (Rodnik)  0.675  PL 133/3   LEO
05/24/14 H-2A-202          F24     ALOS 2 + 4usats          2.275  TA Y1      LEO/S
05/26/14 Zenit 3SL/DMSL            Eutelsat 3B              5.967  PO OLP     GTO
05/28/14 Soyuz FG          1821    Soyuz TMA-13M            7.121  TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
06/14/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1822    Glonass M                1.415  PL 43/4    MEO
06/19/14 Dnepr                     Deimos 2 (37usats)              DO 370/13  LEO/S
06/30/14 PSLV-CA           C23     SPOT 7 (+4usats)         0.765  SR FLP     LEO/S
07/02/14 Delta 2           D367    OCO 2                    0.453  V 2W       LEO/S
07/03/14 Rokot/Briz KM     23      3xGonet 3M               0.846  PL 133/3   LEO
07/08/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1823    Meteor M2 +6usats        3.332  TB 31/6    LEO/S
07/10/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1824    VS08/O3bF2               2.8    KO ELS     MEO
07/13/14 Antares 120       A4      Cygnus/Orb-2             4.923  WI 0A      LEO/ISS
07/14/14 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-10   Orbcomm OG2 (6sats)      1.032  CC 40      LEO [5]
07/18/14 Soyuz 2-1a        1825    Foton M4                 6.84   TB 31/6    LEO
07/23/14 Soyuz U           1826    Progress M-24M           7.2    TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
07/28/14 Delta 4M+4,2      D368    2xGSSAP/ANGELS                  CC 37B     GEO?
07/29/14 Ariane 5ES        L593    VA219/ATV 5             19.926  KO 3       LEO/ISS
08/02/14 Atlas 5-401       AV048   GPS 2F7                  1.63   CC 41      MEO
08/05/14 Falcon 9v1.1      F9-11   Asiasat 8                4.535  CC 40      GTO
08/09/14 CZ-4C             Y14     Yaogan 20                       JQ 43/603  LEO [5a]
08/13/14 Atlas 5-401       AV047   Worldview 3              2.812  VA 3E      LEO/S
08/19/14 CZ-4B             Y27     Gaofen 2/BRITE-PL-2     ~2      TY 9       LEO/S
08/22/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat VS09    2xGalileo FOC-1          1.466  KO ELS    [EEO][6]
09/04/14 CZ-2D                     CX 1-04/Ling Qiao               JQ 43/603  LEO/S
09/07/14 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-12   Asiasat 6                4.428  CC 40      GTO
09/08/14 CZ-4B             Y28     Yaogan 21/Tiantuo 2             TY 9       LEO/S
09/11/14 Ariane 5 ECA      L573    VA218/Measat 3b/Optus 10 9.157  KO 3       GTO
09/17/14 Atlas 5-401       AV049   CLIO                            CC 41      GTO+
09/21/14 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-13   CRS-4 Dragon            ~8.6    CC 40      LEO/ISS
09/25/14 Soyuz FG          1828    Soyuz TMA-14M            7.25   TB 1/5     LEO/ISS
09/27/14 Proton M/Briz M   p398    Olymp-K/Luch            ~3      TB 81/24   GEO
09/28/14 CZ-2C             Y31     Shijian 11-07           ~1      JQ 43/603  LEO/S
10/07/14 H-2A-202          F25     Himawari 8               3.5    TA Y1      GTO
10/15/14 PSLV-XL           C26     IRNSS 1C                 1.425  SR FLP     MTO
10/16/14 Ariane 5 ECA      L574    VA220/Intlsat30/Arsat 1  9.293  KO 3       GTO
10/20/14 CZ-4C                     Yaogan 22               ~2      TY 9       LEO/S
10/21/14 Proton M/Briz M   93548   Express AM6              3.358  TB 81/24  [GEO-][7] 
10/23/14 CZ-3CE                    Chang'e-5-T1                    XC 2       EEO [8]
10/27/14 CZ-2C                     Shijian 11-08           ~1      JQ 43/603  LEO/S
10/28/14 Antares 130       A5      Cygnus/Orb-3             5.644  WI 0A     [FTO][9]
10/29/14 Soyuz 2-1A        1829    Progress M-25M           7.29   TB 31/6    LEO/ISS
10/29/14 Atlas 5-401       AV050   GPS 2F-8                 1.63   CC 41      MEO
10/30/14 Soyuz 2-1A/Fregat 1830    Meridian 17L            ~2.0    PL 43/4    EEO/M
11/06/14 Dnepr                     ASNARO 1                 0.708  DO 370/13  LEO/S
11/14/14 CZ-2C                     Yaogan 23               ~1      TY 9       LEO/S
11/20/14 CZ-2D             CZ2D22  Yaogan 24               ~1      JQ 43/603  LEO/S
11/21/14 Kuaizhou          KZ2     Kuaizhou 2                      JQ         LEO/S
11/23/14 Soyuz FG          1831    Soyuz TMA 15M            7.2    TB 31/6    LEO/ISS
11/30/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1832    Glonass K                0.935  PL 43/4    MEO
12/03/14 H-2A-202          F26     Hayabusa 2               0.71   TA Y1      HCO [10]
12/05/14 Delta 4 Heavy     D369    EFT-1 (Orion)          ~12.0    CC 37B     EEO [11]
12/06/14 Ariane 5 ECA      VA221   DirecTV 14/GSAT 16       9.48   KO 3       GTO
12/07/14 CZ-4B             Y32     CBERS 4                  1.98   TY 9       LEO/S
12/10/14 CZ-4C                     Yaogan 25                       JQ 43/603  LEO [5a]
12/13/14 Atlas 5-541       AV051   NROL 35                         VA 3E      EEO/M
12/15/14 Proton M/Briz M   93550   Yamal 401                2.976  TB 81/24   GEO [12]
12/18/14 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat VS10    4xO3b (F3)               2.80   KO ELS     MEO
12/19/14 Strela            003     Kondor-E                 1.15   TB 175/59  LEO
12/23/14 Angara A5/Briz M  A5-1    GVM Test Flight          2.0    PL 35/1    GEO [13]
12/25/14 Soyuz 2-1b        1834    Lotos-S                  6.0    PL 43/4    LEO
12/26/14 Soyuz 2-1b        1835    Resurs P 2               6.392  TB 31/6    LEO/S
12/27/14 CZ-4B                     Yaogan 26               ~2.0    TY 9       LEO/S
12/27/14 Proton M/Briz M   93549   Astra 2G                 6.02   TB 200/39  GTO
12/31/14 CZ-3A             Y24     FY 2G                   ~1.4    XC 2       GTO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] ISRO's first indiginous cryo upper stage success.
[2] To planned subsynchronous transfer orbit.
[3] 1st stg retro and landing burns, extended first legs, soft landed on Atlantic 
      but sank.
[4] Failed during 3rd stg burn, about T+540 sec, due RD0214 steering engine 
      turbopump bearing failure.
[5] 1st stg retro and landing burns, extended legs, exploded during ocean landing.
[5a] Multiple satellite array for sigint (naval tracking) to ~1,100 km x 64.4 deg.
[6] Satellites and Fregat left in 13,720 x 25,920 km x 49.7 deg orbits, far short 
      of planned 23,522 km x 55.04 deg circular orbits.
[7] 4th Briz M burn cut off 24 sec early, leaving payload in 31,307 x 37,784 km 
      x 0.7deg orbit, short of planned 33,800 x 37,787 km x 0.18 deg by 
      ~50 m/s delta-v.
[8] Lunar free return trajectory.  Lunar sample return reentry capsule test.
[9] Failed at T+14 seconds.  Fell back near launch pad.  
[10] Asteroid sample-return, 6-year mission.  Mass includes three microsats.
[11] First unmanned test of Orion spacecraft CM. Liftoff mass 21 tonnes including 
      LAS, SM Fairings, and Stage Adapter.  CM ~9.2 tonnes.
[12] 400th Proton launch. 
[13] First launch of Angara A5.
 ==================================================================================

2014 Major Suborbital Log 

         
      2014 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG 
      Suborbital Launches Using Booster Hardware Also Used 
      for Orbital Launches
==================================================================================

DATE     VEHICLE          ID      PAYLOAD                MASS(t) SITE*    ORBIT**
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/09/14 CZ-2C/DF-4?              Wu-14 Suborb hypersonic test   TY       SUB [0]
03/04/14 Topol-E                  ICBM Test                      KY       SUB [1]
04/14/14 RS-24 Yars               ICBM Test                      PL       SUB [2]
05/08/14 Topol                    ICBM Test                      PL       SUB [3]
05/08/14 R-29RM                   SLBM Test                      BA       SUB [4]
05/08/14 R-29R                    SLBM Test                      OK       SUB [5]
05/20/14 Topol-E                  ICBM Test                      KY       SUB [1]
06/22/14 GBI              FTG06b  BGI Intercept Test             VA xx    SUB [6]
07/09/14 Angara 1.2PP             Suborbital Test to Kura        PL 35/1  SUB [7]
08/07/14 CZ-2C/DF-4?              Wu-14 Suborb hypersonic test   TY      [FSO][8]
09/10/14 Bulava                   SLBM Test                      WH       SUB [9]
09/23/14 Minuteman 3      GT211GM ICBM Test                      VA LF09  SUB [10]
10/29/14 Bulava                   SLBM Test                      BA       SUB [11]
11/01/14 Topol-M                  ICBM Test                      PL       SUB [12]
11/11/14 Topol-E                  ICBM Test                      KY      [FSO]
11/05/14 R-29RM                   SLBM Test                      BA       SUB [4]
11/28/14 Bulava                   SLBM Test                      BA       SUB [11]
12/04/14 CZ-2C/DF-4?              Wu-14 Suborb hypersonic test   TY       SUB [13]
12/18/14 LVM3(GSLV Mk3)   X1      CARE/Test                      SR 2     SUB [14]
12/26/14 RS-24 Yars               ICBM Test                      PL       SUB [2]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[0] China's first test of Mach 10 hypersonic glide vehicle.  Launched west from TY.       
[1] Kapustin Yar to Sary-Shagan. Enlarged warhead section.   
[2] To Kura range, Kamchatka.  MIRV test.
[3] To Kura range, Kamchatka.
[4] Tula submarine from Barents Sea to Kura range.
[5] Podolsk submarine from Sea of Okhost to Chizha range, Kanin Peninsula.
[6] GBI launched from VAFB intercepted target launched from Kwaj
[7] Inaugural 2-stage Angara 1.2 suborbital test flight to Kura range.
[8] Remains of 2nd stage crashed short of keep out zone.  Planned 1,750 km range.
[9] Sub launched from White Sea to Kura Range, Kamchatka.
[10] 14:45 UTC launch.  To Kwajalein.
[11] Sub launched from Barents Sea to Kura Range, Kamchatka.
[12] Launched from one of two silos at Yuzhnaya site (62.869919,41.780116) at 
      06:20 UTC to Kura Range, Kamchatka.
[13] China's first test of Mach 10 hypersonic glide vehicle.  Launched west from TY.
[14] Suborbital test with dummy Stage 3.  CARE crew module (3.735 tonnes) performed 
    reentry and splashdown to test recovery systems. 
=================================================================================

*Site Code:

BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA 
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia 
FLP = First Launch Pad
JQ = Ji Quan, China 
KA = Kagoshima, Japan 
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
KY = Kapustin Yar, Russia
ME = Meck Island, Kwajalein Atoll, RMI
MU = Musudan-ri North Korea
NA = Naro Space Center, South Korea
NP = North Pole Submarine Launch
OK = Sea of Okhotsk
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal 
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean (154W-0N for Sea Launch)
SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert
SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
TA = Tanageshima, Japan 
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China 
WH = White Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
WI = Wallops Island 
XC = Xi Chang, China 
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad

**Orbit Code:

EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous or High Perigee Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTOi = Inclined GTO
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit 
SUB = Suborbital
=========================================================================

 

Space Launch Forecast 

========================================================================
                       SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

               ON THE PAD:  SPACE LAUNCH FORECAST
========================================================================
                by Ed Kyle      as of December 31, 2014
=========================================================================
This space launch forecast, like all such space launch schedules, 
should not be considered anything but a vague long-term forecast. The 
dates, sequence, and even the total number of launches, can and almost 
certainly will be altered as time passes. (Predicting launch dates is 
much like trying to predict the weather months in advance.)

==================================================================================
DATE     VEHICLE           ID     PAYLOAD                 MASS(t) SITE*     ORBIT**
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--/--/15 Falcon 9 v1.1     F9-14  Dragon CRS-5                    CC 40     LEO/ISS
--/--/15 Vega                     IXV Suborbital                  KO        SUB
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


*Site Code:

BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA  
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia
FLP = First Launch Pad
GO = Goheung (Naro), South Korea
JQ = Ji Quan, China 
KA = Kagoshima, Japan 
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KD = Kodiak, Alaska
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
MU = Musudan-ri, North Korea
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal 
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean Range 154W-0N 
SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert
SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
SV = Svobodny Cosmodrome, Russia
TA = Tanageshima, Japan 
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China 
WI = Wallops Island 
XC = Xi Chang, China 
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad


**Orbit Code:

EEO = Elliptical Earth Orbit
EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit
SUB = Suborbital 

=========================================================================